AUD/USD Forecast: See Volatile Trading on Tuesday

• The AUD/USD has been facing significant resistance around the 0.68 level in recent trading sessions.
• While there have been some attempts to push above this barrier, they have so far been unsuccessful.
• As the currency has now settled around the 50-Day EMA, traders are left wondering whether it will make a definitive move to the upside or break down toward the 0.6650 level.

If the AUD/USD pair is able to break above the 0.68 level, it could open up a longer-term uptrend, with a move toward the 200-Day EMA and potentially the 0.70 level. However, this will likely depend on market sentiment and risk appetite. The Australian dollar is highly leveraged to commodity markets and global growth, both of which have been sending mixed signals recently.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has also played a role in this uncertainty, with the central bank maintaining its current interest rate policy. As a result, interest rate differentials may not have much of an impact on the currency's movements for the time being.

Keep in Mind the Importance of Risk Appetite

Traders should also keep in mind the importance of risk appetite when considering the Australian dollar's trajectory. The currency is often seen as a barometer of market sentiment, and its movements can reflect changes in risk appetite.

Overall, the current situation suggests that there will continue to be volatility in the AUD/USD pair. As traders wait for a definitive move, they should pay close attention to momentum and watch for impulsive candlesticks that could indicate a direction. While the 0.68 level has been an important resistance point, there is significant demand around the 0.6650 level, which could provide support if the currency breaks down.

In conclusion, the Australian dollar is facing a challenging environment, with mixed signals from commodity markets and global growth, along with uncertainty around the RBA's interest rate policy. Traders should exercise caution and be prepared for further volatility as the currency looks for direction. This will be especially true as the US dollar took it on the chin later in the day against multiple currencies, so the Aussie could get a little bit of a lift due to that. However, part of the reason the US dollar is suffering is the fact that the US economy looks like it could go into recession and that will of course work against commodities over the longer term.