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EUR/USD Forecast: Euro Rallies Slightly on Monday

Overall, the Euro is facing strong resistance at the 1.09 level, and recent negativity suggests that selling opportunities could emerge.

  • The EUR/USD currency pair struggled at the beginning of Monday's trading session but appears to have found some support to stay afloat.
  • However, the market faces significant resistance closer to the 1.09 level, where we've seen a lot of selling pressure in the past.
  • Last Thursday, a shooting star formed in this area, further highlighting the strong resistance.

Selling Opportunities Ahead

Currently, the Euro remains range-bound, and recent negativity in the Euro suggests that selling opportunities could emerge. If the Euro manages to break above the recent high, it could signal a potential turnaround, which would be bullish for the currency. In that scenario, the Euro could rally all the way to the 1.13 level, but that would take a Herculean effort on the part of the currency markets.

Investors should pay attention to key support and resistance levels. The 50-Day EMA is just below the 1.07 level and should provide support. Below this level, the Euro has further support at the 1.06 level and the 200-Day EMA. However, if the Euro breaks down below these levels, it could lead to a significant move to the downside, potentially down to the 1.03 level or even parity. That would also cause a lot of headlines, and therefore you could see a big reaction to testing that area below.

Investors should also keep an eye on the interest rate situation in the United States. If interest rates continue to climb, the US dollar may become more attractive, which could weigh on the Euro's performance. Additionally, if there is a lot of fear in the market, the US dollar tends to be viewed as a safe-haven currency, which could lead to a stronger US dollar. The markets certainly have a lot to think about at the moment, and the US dollar has been enjoying a lot of inflows.

Overall, the Euro is facing strong resistance at the 1.09 level, and recent negativity suggests that selling opportunities could emerge. Investors should pay close attention to support levels, including the 50-Day EMA, 1.06 level, and 200-Day EMA. Additionally, the interest rate situation in the United States and broader market sentiment could impact the Euro's performance. As a highly traded currency, the Euro is an excellent barometer for the US dollar's behavior against other major currencies, making it a crucial currency to monitor, and is often used as a proxy for the US Dollar Index.

EUR/USD chart

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Christopher Lewis
About Christopher Lewis

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex for several years. He writes about Forex for many online publications, including his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy.

 

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