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USD/MXN: Emergence of Consolidation Allows Speculative Tests

The USD/MXN has remained within a rather tight trading range the past handful of days as support and resistance levels have grown closer.

The USD/MXN is trading near the 19.78000 level as of this writing. Volumes in Forex, including the USD/MXN, are likely going to diminish rapidly as the Christmas holiday approaches and financial houses start to disappear from the trading landscape. Since the 6th of December, the USD/MXN has essentially traded within a range of 19.53000 to 19.90000 with some momentary outliers.

The development of a consolidated range in the USD/MXN before heading into the holiday season may attract some speculators who want to test the currency pair with quick-hitting wagers. Traders in the USD/MXN however should be aware the potential for volatility abounds if a large unexpected trade creates an unbalanced market.

Yesterday’s Highs in the USD/MXN Tested Resistance Again

Highs in the USD/MXN did come within sight of the 19.90000 mark but were not able to push above. Resistance at this value has proven stiff. On the 12th of December, the USD/MXN briefly climbed to 19.91580 vicinities but was pushed back and a low of nearly 19.51300 was seen the next day. However, some speculators may look at the current price of USD/MXN and believe the 19.90000 level is a target, but because of holiday trading volumes, this may prove tough to accomplish.

  • Short-term resistance technically in the USD/MXN may be considered near the 19.83000 to 19.84000 levels; perhaps these targets can be used by speculators looking for fast take profit wagers.
  • Support for the USD/MXN short-term may be near the 19.74000 to 19.73000 mark. Short-term speculative positions looking for a downside may want to use these ratios as a target with bearish intentions.

Consolidation in the USD/MXN has Grown Strong the Past Two Weeks

The USD/MXN certainly was testing lower values in early December. Even though the U.S Federal Reserve confirmed a less aggressive interest rate policy stance the USD/MXN has risen in value. This outcome may have something to do with Crude Oil prices languishing near long-term lows.

Traders looking for a big selloff in the USD/MXN may be over-ambitious. The current consolidated mode may lose its grip in the coming days, but a strong reversal of lower penetrating support which has been displayed the past two weeks would be a surprise in the near term. Taking advantage of the consolidation with nearby targets may be the best way to wager in the USD/MXN short-term.

USD/MXN Short-Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 19.83000

Current Support: 19.71800

High Target: 19.92300

Low Target: 19.66700

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Robert Petrucci
About Robert Petrucci
Robert Petrucci has worked in the Forex, commodity, and financial profession since 1993. Important aspects of his work involve risk analysis and advisory services. As an advisor in a Family Office he maintains a conservative approach for wealth management and investments. Robert also works in private finance with investors and companies delivering financial and management services.
 

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