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USD/TRY Forex Signal: Central Bank Tightens Foreign Currency Loans

On the technical front, the US dollar pair rose against the Turkish lira, to record a new high during today's trading at 18.69, which is the highest level, before retreating to the narrow trading range again. 

Today's recommendation on the USD/TRY

 Risk 0.50%.

Best buying entry points

  • Entering a long position with a pending order from levels of 18.50
  • Set a stop-loss point to close below the 18.35 support levels.
  • Move the stop loss to the entry area and continue to profit as the price moves by 50 pips.
  • Close half of the contracts with a profit of 70 pips and leave the rest of the contracts until the strong resistance levels at 18.99.

Best selling entry points

  • Entering a short position with a pending order from levels of 18.99
  • The best points for setting stop-loss are closing the highest levels of 19.15.
  • Move the stop loss to the entry area and continue to profit as the price moves by 50 pips.
  • Close half of the contracts with a profit equal to 70 pips and leave the rest of the contracts until the 18.55 support level.

The USD/TRY hit a new high, with the Turkish Central Bank's decision to lend to companies with large foreign financial assets approaching to enter into force tomorrow. Commercial loans in Turkish lira will be prohibited to companies that have foreign interests equivalent to more than 10 million liras, or if the total assets of the company exceed 5 percent of this amount. The monetary tightening aims to have these companies sell a larger amount of their foreign financial assets to access the loan. These policies come within the framework of the Turkish Central Bank's expansion in the steps aimed at expanding the volume of foreign currency reserves in the country. It is noteworthy that the country's commercial entities own approximately $88.7 billion in Turkish banks, according to the latest data. The decision is being implemented amid the indications of Turkish Finance Minister Nord El-Din Nabati, that these measures are temporary. While analysts believe that the goal of any current measure aims to calm the economic turmoil with the aim of passing the 2023 elections.

USD/TRY Technical Analysis

On the technical front, the US dollar pair rose against the Turkish lira, to record a new high during today's trading at 18.69, which is the highest level, before retreating to the narrow trading range again. The pair is trading the highest levels of support, which are concentrated at levels of 18.51 and 18.42, respectively. On the other hand, the lira is trading below the psychological resistance levels at the correct number based at 19.00.

The pair settled within a narrow trading range that continued throughout the current month. In the meantime, the pair is trading above the 50, 100 and 200 moving averages on the daily time frame, indicating the general bullish trend, while the pair is trading between these averages on the four-hour time frame. Also on the 60-minute time frame, which shows the extent of volatility and trading in the narrow range that the pair is recording. Any drop for the pair represents an opportunity to buy back again with the aim of reaching the previous high recorded during the past year. Please adhere to the numbers in the recommendation with the need to maintain capital management.

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Amir Issa
About Amir Issa
Economic editor , more than 12 years experience in the global financial markets and in the field of currency and metals trading. I supervised on many sites related to investment, finance and training in the field of forex and global exchanges.
 

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